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Here is a look at Dorian this morning as sun rises. Dorian is now a cat 5 hurricane with sustained winds around 180 mph. Pressure has dropped to 913, lower than Hurricane Andrew in 1992. The storm continues to push westward towards the northwestern Bahamas. Right now, land fall is imminent in the Bahamas from Dorian. 15 to 20 ft storm surge is possible, very heavy rain, and flooding is another threat in the Bahamas. Dorian is moving at 8 mph but may slow down even more. At this time it is expected for the Bahamas to deal with Dorian for about 36 to 48 hours.
This morning we have hurricane warnings and watches in the Bahamas. Tropical storm warnings and watches have been issued by the NHC for parts of the east coast of Florida. Here is the forecast cone from the NHC in Miami, FL. You can see how Dorian will sort of linger over the Bahamas for a while. This could end up being catastrophic for the northwestern islands of the Bahamas.
By Tuesday the storm is forecast to turn north and stay along the east coast of the U.S. No landfall is expected in FL, GA, or SC, but the eye will be sort of close. People who live on the coast in these states should continue to take precaution. You don’t need for the eye wall to come onto shore to feel impacts from a hurricane. The eye of Dorian will however come very close to the Outer banks of NC.
Note: the forecast cone drawn by the NHC (National Hurricane Center) is representative of where the eye of the storm could go. That means even those outside the forecast cone could feel impacts from Dorian.