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The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman, OK has placed just about the entire Miami Valley under a marginal risk for severe weather. This mean any thunderstorms we see today could be strong to possibly severe. Right now though, it looks as if the greatest threat for severe weather will stay north of the valley.
Looking at current satellite and CAPE values. Our CAPE values are above 1,000 J/Kg to 3,000 J/Kg. Which is pretty conducive to produce thunderstorms. Also, there isn’t too many clouds over the area and sunshine is also helping with destabilizing the atmosphere.
A cold front will move through the area later this evening. That cold front will spark shower and thunderstorm development this afternoon and evening. Everyone may not see showers and storms, but. Those that do, some rain could be steady to heavy at times.
Showers and storms will move into the area around 6 pm from the west-northwest. Showers and storms will continue east before exiting the area around midnight.
So this what our severe weather threats looks like for tonight. Some gusty winds and hail can not be ruled out but is very low at this time. Everything else is very low at this time as well. Stay with The Greater Dayton Weather Post for the latest.