Last Updated 2 years ago by Devontae Jackson.
The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK has placed most of the Miami Valley under a slight risk for severe weather Sunday. The northwestern part of the area is under a marginal risk for severe weather. That is at the lower end of the scale. The southeastern part of the area is under an enhanced risk for severe. That is right after slight and is third out of five on the severe weather scale. Five being the highest on the scale.
Let’s time it all out, rain will move into the area from the west and southwest Saturday night. This rain will become more steady and widespread as we head into Sunday morning. Rain will then taper off late morning into the afternoon on Sunday. Heading into the afternoon hours we will have to see if the sun breaks through clouds. Right now it looks like that could happen. This could add a little instability to the atmosphere to allow these thunderstorms to develop in the afternoon and evening hours. Those afternoon storms will be the ones to watch for the greatest severe potential as well. Showers and storms will continue into the evening before tapering late Sunday.
Looking at surface Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE). We won’t have any surface CAPE in the area until the afternoon. More importantly, around the time the rain stops and we could see clouds break in the area. So this helps better pinpoint that the second round of showers and storms we see will be the one to watch. Stay with The Greater Dayton Weather Post for more on this.