Last Updated 4 weeks ago by Devontae Jackson.
We have some rain moving into the area at this hour. Some of this rain is steady to heavy, this will help stabilize the atmosphere a little as we head into the afternoon. Temps reaching the lower 60s and dew points reaching the lower 50s at the moment.
The outlook from the SPC has not changed really at all since yesterday for our area. Most of the Miami Valley is in a marginal risk (1/5) for severe weather. While portions of the southern Miami Valley is in a slight risk (2/5) for severe weather. This means any thunderstorms we see today could be strong to severe at times.
As a low-pressure system pushes into the area will bring a warm front that will continue to surge warm temps into the area with moisture from the Gulf as well. Then a cold front moves in bringing us showers and storms.
As we head through the afternoon and evening we will have CAPE values approaching 1000 J/Kg. So we will have enough energy in the atmosphere to produce thunderstorms.
Here is what the NAM 3K model looks like. We will have that batch of rain you saw earlier in the post move through the area. A few embedded thunderstorms are possible with that. We will get a break by late afternoon before more showers and storms move into the area during the evening. A few of these may be strong to severe at times. Rain and storms will continue through the early morning hours of Friday before tapering off.
Here is a look at our severe weather hazards for today. All modes of severe weather is possible, the main threat being damaging winds. Everything else is low but not zero.
Here is the latest from the blog.
Make sure you know where to go during severe weather and have a safety plan.